Winter steelhead season has been slow to ignite on the North Coast, but that’s about to change. A series of storm systems is lining up over the Pacific, and the impacts could be significant beginning next week and beyond.

According to the National Weather Service, rain is expected to arrive Monday and persist for several days, with a few inches forecast along the coast — exactly what the rivers need. Steady rainfall and resulting pulse flows should be enough to draw the first major push of winter steelhead out of the salt. If the storms materialize as predicted, the Smith River could be in excellent shape sometime next week. The Chetco is projected to spike to around 9,000 cfs and will likely remain unfishable through the week.

Elsewhere, the Eel, South Fork Eel, Van Duzen and Mad rivers are expected to take on plenty of color and will probably need some time before dropping back into shape. Once all the rivers crest and begin to recede to fishable levels, the first wave of winter steelhead should follow.

After a standout late-fall salmon season, seeing the rivers fill with bright winter steelhead would be a welcome encore.

Weather ahead
According to Eureka’s National Weather Service office, Sunday is expected to start to see conditions transition to a wetter pattern. “Winds start to turn southerly and increase Sunday morning. High clouds are expected to start to move into the area as well. There is a slight chance for rain in Del Norte county Sunday evening, but the rain will likely stay to the north of the area.

Monday the wet pattern is expected to return. The first system is expected to move through Monday afternoon or evening with a second Tuesday afternoon or evening. The ECMWF and ensembles keep the heavier rain a bit farther north for the first one, but is in better agreement with the GEFS on the second one. Some areas may not see much of a break between the systems and it this point it is hard to time a break out. Confidence is growing that we will see 1 to 3 inches of rain over Monday and Tuesday in Humboldt and Trinity counties with more like 2 to 3 inches in Del Norte County. In Mendocino and Lake counties rainfall amounts drop off quickly with amounts ranging from a quarter of an inch in southern Lake County to 1.5 inches in northern Mendocino County. These amounts may continue to rise.

Later in the week there is the potential for continued wet weather, but details are low at this point. There are some indications that this could be a colder storm with some snow at the higher elevations.”

Shelter Cove update
“The rockfish and lingcod fishing continues to be great,” said Jake Mitchell of Sea Hawk Sport Fishing. “We’ve been having some excellent December weather to go with it. We’re spending most of our time at the Hat and the Old Man.”

Brookings update
According to Martin, lingcod action has been very good out of Brookings, while sport crabbing also is excellent. “Crabbing will remain good through Saturday, and then likely drop off sharply with the commercial opener and incoming storm. Calm conditions are expected through Saturday. A major winter storm arrives Sunday night.”

The Rivers:
As of Thursday, the main stem Eel and Smith were open to fishing. The Mad, South Fork Eel, Van Duzen, and Redwood Creek remained closed due to low flows. The low-flow closure telephone hotline for North Coast rivers is no longer in service. You can now find river openings and closures online at https://wildlife.ca.gov/Fishing/Inland/Low-Flow/North-Coast. Low-flow information for all North Coast rivers is available here.

NOTE: The main stem Eel from the South Fork to Cape Horn Dam, the Mad River from the mouth to 200 yards upstream and the Mattole River will be closed until January 1, 2026.

Mad
The Mad remains closed, but changes are on the way. Rain is in the forecast for Monday, and we should see the river start to rise early Tuesday. It’s predicted to stay in the 9-to-10-foot range through at least next Sunday. Once the flows recede, we should see the first push of winter steelhead. Minimum flow: 200 cfs at the gauging station at the Highway 299 bridge.

Main Eel
The main Eel remains open, but is now under 700 cfs as of Thursday. The next rise is forecast to start late Monday or early Tuesday and will likely turn the river muddy. There should be some late kings and coho making their way in along with the first round of steelhead when the river drops down to a fishable height and color. Minimum Flow: 350 cubic feet per second at the gauging station near Scotia.

South Fork Eel
The South Fork Eel remains closed to fishing, but some much-needed water is on the way. With rain starting Monday, the South Fork is forecast to rise early Tuesday morning and will likely blow out. Flows are predicted to be above 3,000 cfs by next Sunday. We should see a few winter steelhead show up on the next rise.Minimum flow: 340 cfs at the gauging station at Miranda.

Van Duzen
The Van Duzen is currently closed due to low flows, but that will soon change. The river is predicted to rise Monday evening, and will likely blow out soon after. It’s predicted to be high and off color through next week. Minimum flow: 150 cfs at the gauging station near Grizzly Creek Redwoods State Park.

Smith
The Smith remains open as of Thursday, but is low and clear with very little fishing pressure. There’s a chance it could close prior to the rain coming late Monday as flows were 620 cfs at Jed Smith Park Thursday. It’s predicted to rise starting Monday evening and could be in plunkable or in drifting shape throughout next week as it should be in the 10-to-12-foot range. The next rise should bring in the last of the kings as well as some bright winter steelhead. Minimum flow: 600 cfs at the Jedediah Smith State Park gauging station.

Chetco/Elk/Sixes
Salmon fishing has been slow on the Chetco, Elk and Sixes with prolonged low water reports Andy Martin of Wild Rivers Fishing. “A big boost in flows is expected Sunday night, but the river will quickly blow out and could be high for more than a week,” said Martin. “Expect steelhead fishing to kick into gear as the river drops. Flows are expected to approach 10,000 cfs by early next week. Flows were between 500 and 650 cfs this week.  

Kenny Priest operates Fishing the North Coast, a fishing guide service out of Humboldt specializing in salmon and steelhead. Find it on Facebook, Instagram, YouTube and www.fishingthenorthcoast.com. For up-to-date fishing reports and North Coast river information, email kenny@fishingthenorthcoast.com.